{"id":5359,"date":"2020-04-14T18:25:37","date_gmt":"2020-04-14T17:25:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.mondayhappymonday.com\/la-agilidad-antes-los-cisnes-negrois\/"},"modified":"2021-07-15T11:24:58","modified_gmt":"2021-07-15T10:24:58","slug":"la-agilidad-antes-los-cisnes-negros","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mondayhappymonday.com\/en\/la-agilidad-antes-los-cisnes-negros\/","title":{"rendered":"La agilidad ante los cisnes negros"},"content":{"rendered":"

El CisneNegro<\/strong> de @Nassim Nicholas Taleb era uno de esos que forman parte de la columna de mis libros pendientes, cada vez m\u00e1s alta, que hay en mi mesilla de noche para leer un rato antes de dormir (ahora entiendo por qu\u00e9 se llaman libros de cabecera\u2026)<\/p>\n

Aunque ya conoc\u00eda el concepto, la irrupci\u00f3n de la pandemia del #COVID19 provoc\u00f3 que le arrebatara el libro a mi mesilla y me dispusiera a acabarlo r\u00e1pidamente. Para aqu\u00e9llos que no est\u00e1n familiarizados con el concepto, un cisne negro es la met\u00e1fora de aquellos sucesos que ocurren por sorpresa<\/strong>, que nadie los hab\u00eda previsto porque era altamente improbable que ocurrieran y que tienen un alto impacto<\/strong> en la sociedad.<\/p>\n

Muy resumidamente, lo que viene a decir Taleb en su libro es que los cisnes negros son consecuencia de un mundo complejo; que debemos protegernos de ellos; que a toro pasado, todos los sucesos se pueden explicar, pero antes no; que se busca en lo conocido y a veces se descubre algo por casualidad que no se conoc\u00eda; que la predicci\u00f3n del futuro no es verdad (nadie fue capaz de predecir un crack como el del 29 que, seg\u00fan las estad\u00edsticas, no deber\u00eda haberse producido en billones de a\u00f1os); afirmamos que alguien es h\u00e1bil en algo despu\u00e9s de los hechos (p.ej si @Facebook no fuera la empresa triunfadora que es hoy, su fundador @Mark Zuckerberg tampoco ser\u00eda lo crack que se considera hoy), y que es m\u00e1s importante lo que no sabemos que lo que s\u00ed sabemos.<\/p>\n

Ya hemos vivido otros dark swans<\/em> en el pasado: el atentado de las Torres Gemelas de Nueva York el 11 de septiembre de 2001 o el #Brexit, pero hoy estamos asistiendo a uno de los m\u00e1s colosales de los \u00faltimos tiempos por haber parado en seco el mundo entero y, a pesar de que estamos intentando adaptarnos a estas nuevas circunstancias, no podemos ignorar que esto va a suponer un punto de inflexi\u00f3n<\/strong> en la historia de la humanidad.<\/p>\n

En esta situaci\u00f3n, algunos padecer\u00e1n el s\u00edndrome de la ostra<\/strong> y acumular\u00e1n capas y capas conforme pasan los meses, formando conchas con las que creer\u00e1n protegerse de la adversidad de los acontecimientos, pero \u00e9ste no es el camino por el que hemos optado en @Monday Happy Monday<\/p>\n

Hoy, las organizaciones navegamos a vela y el \u00fanico motor que tenemos es el viento<\/strong>. Los navegantes bien saben que el viento no es constante, ni en su direcci\u00f3n ni intensidad. Adem\u00e1s, en el mundo en que vivimos, hay olas, corrientes\u2026 Ello nos ha obligado a cambiar r\u00e1pidamente nuestro rumbo, a virar. No tenemos m\u00e1s que ver c\u00f3mo la pandemia nos ha digitalizado a la fuerza.<\/p>\n

Otras teor\u00edas, como la del caos en las organizaciones<\/strong>, explica c\u00f3mo situaciones de cambio r\u00e1pidas, de gran desorden y confusi\u00f3n, como la que estamos viviendo, no pueden ser gestionadas por los est\u00e1ndares de siempre. Entonces, \u00bfc\u00f3mo tenemos que hacerlo?<\/p>\n

En Monday Happy Monday le hemos dado toda una vuelta de calcet\u00edn a nuestro business model canvas y lo hemos reinventado. Hemos enriquecido nuestra propuesta de valor, creado nuevos canales, nuevas relaciones con nuestros clientes, con nuestras alianzas\u2026 en un tiempo r\u00e9cord. En definitiva, nos hemos adaptado al nuevo orden de forma \u00e1gil, pero no s\u00f3lo por esta vez, pues estamos seguras de que vendr\u00e1n m\u00e1s dark swans<\/em>. Continuaremos siendo \u00e1giles y, como dice @Henry Mintzberg en su art\u00edculo An Overview of the Design School of Strategic Management<\/em>, seguiremos buscando oportunidades<\/a> y soluciones para nuestros clientes<\/strong> all\u00ed donde no las haya. Es nuestra manera de ser.<\/p>\n

Tanto las organizaciones inquietas como aqu\u00e9llas que quieren volver a brillar deber\u00e1n cambiar la estabilidad, la seguridad y el control por la innovaci\u00f3n y la reinvenci\u00f3n<\/strong> y s\u00f3lo esta nueva cultura proteger\u00e1 su supervivencia ante los cisnes negros que, sin duda, seguir\u00e1 trayendo consigo ese futuro tan impredecible.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

El CisneNegro de @Nassim Nicholas Taleb era uno de esos que forman parte de la columna de mis libros pendientes, cada vez m\u00e1s alta, que hay en mi mesilla de noche para leer un rato antes de dormir (ahora entiendo por qu\u00e9 se llaman libros de cabecera\u2026) Aunque ya conoc\u00eda el concepto, la irrupci\u00f3n de […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":5355,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","inline_featured_image":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[42],"tags":[121,194,195,196,197,198,199,200],"class_list":["post-5359","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-innovation","tag-agile-en","tag-alwaysready-en","tag-cisne-negro-en","tag-covid-19-en","tag-digitalizacion-en","tag-reinventarse-en","tag-transformacion-en","tag-virar-en"],"yoast_head":"\nLa agilidad ante los cisnes negros - 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